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　　其?(qi)二??(er)??，懲?(cheng)罰?(fa)性??(xing)關??(guan)稅?(shui)政??(zheng)策??(ce)將??(jiang)導??(dao)致??(zhi)全??(quan)球??(qiu)貿??(mao)易??(yi)成??(cheng)本?(ben)上??(shang)升??(sheng)??，迫??(po)使??(shi)石??(shi)油??(you)貿??(mao)易??(yi)改??(gai)道??(dao)??，進??(jin)一??(yi)步??(bu)加??(jia)劇??(ju)了??(le)國??(guo)際?(ji)油??(you)價??(jia)的??(de)不??(bu)確??(que)定??(ding)性??(xing)??。??美??(mei)國??(guo)對??(dui)進??(jin)口??(kou)鋼??(gang)鐵??(tie)和??(he)鋁??(lv)加??(jia)征??(zheng)關??(guan)稅??(shui)??，增??(zeng)加??(jia)國??(guo)內??(nei)石?(shi)油??(you)開??(kai)采??(cai)和??(he)運??(yun)輸?(shu)的??(de)成??(cheng)本?(ben)??，間??(jian)接??(jie)推??(tui)高??(gao)油??(you)價??(jia)??。同??(tong)時??(shi)??，貿??(mao)易??(yi)摩??(mo)擦??(ca)導??(dao)致??(zhi)的?(de)全??(quan)球??(qiu)經??(jing)濟??(ji)放??(fang)緩??(huan)預??(yu)期??(qi)??，又?(you)對??(dui)油??(you)價??(jia)形??(xing)成??(cheng)了??(le)下??(xia)行??(xing)壓?(ya)力??(li)??。這??(zhe)種??(zhong)復??(fu)雜?(za)的?(de)相??(xiang)互??(hu)作??(zuo)用??(yong)使??(shi)得??(de)國??(guo)際??(ji)油??(you)價??(jia)的??(de)波??(bo)動??(dong)更??(geng)加??(jia)難??(nan)以??(yi)預??(yu)測??(ce)???！　≈??(zhi)得??(de)注??(zhu)意?(yi)的??(de)是??(shi)??，歐??(ou)佩??(pei)克??(ke)的??(de)減??(jian)產??(chan)政?(zheng)策??(ce)與?(yu)美??(mei)國??(guo)頁??(ye)巖??(yan)油??(you)產?(chan)量??(liang)的??(de)增??(zeng)長??(chang)形??(xing)成??(cheng)了??(le)鮮??(xian)明??(ming)對??(dui)比??(bi)??。??自??(zi)特??(te)朗??(lang)普??(pu)上??(shang)一??(yi)任??(ren)期??(qi)以??(yi)來??(lai)??，美??(mei)能??(neng)源??(yuan)獨??(du)立?(li)政??(zheng)策??(ce)使??(shi)得??(de)美??(mei)國??(guo)頁??(ye)巖??(yan)油??(you)產??(chan)量??(liang)持??(chi)續(xù)??(xu)攀??(pan)升??(sheng)??，成??(cheng)為??(wei)全??(quan)球??(qiu)主??(zhu)要?(yao)原??(yuan)油??(you)供??(gong)應??(ying)者??(zhe)之?(zhi)一??(yi)??。美??(mei)國??(guo)能??(neng)源??(yuan)信??(xin)息??(xi)署??(shu)預??(yu)計??(ji)今??(jin)年??(nian)美??(mei)國??(guo)頁?(ye)巖??(yan)油??(you)產??(chan)量??(liang)將??(jiang)增??(zeng)加??(jia)40萬?(wan)桶??(tong)／日?(ri)??，達??(da)到??(dao)1360萬??(wan)桶?(tong)／日??(ri)??，鞏?(gong)固??(gu)其?(qi)作??(zuo)為?(wei)全??(quan)球??(qiu)最??(zui)大??(da)產??(chan)油??(you)國??(guo)的??(de)地??(di)位??(wei)??。所??(suo)以??(yi)說??(shuo)??，歐?(ou)佩??(pei)克??(ke)的??(de)減??(jian)產??(chan)努??(nu)力??(li)在??(zai)一??(yi)定??(ding)程?(cheng)度??(du)上??(shang)被??(bei)美??(mei)國??(guo)頁??(ye)巖??(yan)油??(you)產??(chan)量??(liang)的??(de)增??(zeng)長??(chang)所??(suo)抵??(di)消??(xiao)??，這??(zhe)在??(zai)一??(yi)定??(ding)程??(cheng)度??(du)上??(shang)也??(ye)激??(ji)化??(hua)了??(le)歐??(ou)佩??(pei)克??(ke)的??(de)內??(nei)部??(bu)矛??(mao)盾??(dun)??，一??(yi)些??(xie)成??(cheng)員??(yuan)國??(guo)越??(yue)來?(lai)越?(yue)不??(bu)能??(neng)忍??(ren)受??(shou)在?(zai)限??(xian)產??(chan)保??(bao)價??(jia)的??(de)同??(tong)時??(shi)失??(shi)去??(qu)市??(shi)場??(chang)份??(fen)額??(e)??。歐??(ou)佩??(pei)克??(ke)因??(yin)此?(ci)不??(bu)得??(de)不??(bu)更??(geng)多?(duo)地??(di)顧??(gu)及?(ji)地?(di)緣??(yuan)政??(zheng)治??(zhi)影??(ying)響??(xiang)??，雖??(sui)然??(ran)該??(gai)組??(zu)織??(zhi)聲??(sheng)稱??(cheng)不??(bu)會??(hui)將??(jiang)市??(shi)場??(chang)和?(he)政祝(zheng)治??(zhi)混??(hun)為??(wei)一??(yi)談??(tan)??。。