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　　三九養(yǎng)生堂記者 鄧肯·蓋伊 報(bào)道

精彩|　　陳??(chen)光??(guang)華??(hua)指??(zhi)出??(chu)??，關(guān)??(guan)于??(yu)接??(jie)下?(xia)來??(lai)的??(de)市??(shi)場(chǎng)??(chang)走??(zou)勢(shì)??(shi)??，近??(jin)期??(qi)農(nóng)??(nong)業(yè)??(ye)農(nóng)??(nong)村??(cun)部??(bu)組??(zu)織??(zhi)專??(zhuan)家??(jia)、行??(xing)業(yè)??(ye)協(xié)??(xie)會(huì)??(hui)和??(he)重??(zhong)點(diǎn)??(dian)企??(qi)業(yè)??(ye)進(jìn)??(jin)行??(xing)了??(le)專??(zhuan)題??(ti)會(huì)??(hui)商??(shang)??。??大?(da)家??(jia)認(rèn)??(ren)為??(wei)??，當(dāng)??(dang)前??(qian)和??(he)今??(jin)后??(hou)一??(yi)個(gè)??(ge)時(shí)??(shi)期??(qi)??，生??(sheng)豬??(zhu)生??(sheng)產(chǎn)??(chan)仍??(reng)在??(zai)慣??(guan)性??(xing)增??(zeng)長(zhǎng)??(chang)??，后??(hou)市??(shi)供??(gong)應(yīng)??(ying)將??(jiang)穩(wěn)??(wen)定??(ding)增??(zeng)加??(jia)??，四??(si)季??(ji)度??(du)是??(shi)消??(xiao)費(fèi)??(fei)旺??(wang)季??(ji)??，豬??(zhu)價(jià)?(jia)可??(ke)能?(neng)會(huì)??(hui)回??(hui)升??(sheng)??，但??(dan)缺?(que)乏??(fa)大??(da)幅??(fu)上??(shang)漲??(zhang)的?(de)基??(ji)礎(chǔ)??(chu)??。從??(cong)中?(zhong)大??(da)豬??(zhu)數(shù)??(shu)量??(liang)看?(kan)??，9月??(yue)份??(fen)??，全??(quan)國(guó)??(guo)規(guī)??(gui)模??(mo)豬??(zhu)場(chǎng)??(chang)的??(de)中?(zhong)大??(da)豬?(zhu)存??(cun)欄??(lan)量??(liang)同??(tong)比??(bi)增??(zeng)長(zhǎng)??(chang)6.3%、環(huán)??(huan)比??(bi)增??(zeng)長(zhǎng)??(chang)2.4%??，這??(zhe)些??(xie)中?(zhong)大??(da)豬??(zhu)將??(jiang)在??(zai)未??(wei)來??(lai)2個(gè)??(ge)月??(yue)內(nèi)??(nei)陸??(lu)續(xù)??(xu)出??(chu)欄??(lan)??，預(yù)??(yu)示??(shi)著??(zhe)11月??(yue)份??(fen)前??(qian)后??(hou)生??(sheng)豬??(zhu)市??(shi)場(chǎng)??(chang)供??(gong)應(yīng)??(ying)將??(jiang)持?(chi)續(xù)?(xu)增??(zeng)加?(jia)??。從??(cong)新??(xin)生??(sheng)仔??(zai)豬??(zhu)數(shù)??(shu)量??(liang)看?(kan)??，今??(jin)年??(nian)4—9月??(yue)份??(fen)全??(quan)國(guó)??(guo)新??(xin)生??(sheng)仔??(zai)豬??(zhu)量?(liang)同??(tong)比?(bi)增?(zeng)長(zhǎng)??(chang)5.9%??，這??(zhe)些??(xie)仔??(zai)豬??(zhu)將??(jiang)在??(zai)未??(wei)來??(lai)6個(gè)??(ge)月??(yue)內(nèi)??(nei)將??(jiang)陸??(lu)續(xù)??(xu)出??(chu)欄??(lan)??，預(yù)??(yu)示??(shi)著??(zhe)從??(cong)現(xiàn)?(xian)在??(zai)開??(kai)始??(shi)的??(de)半??(ban)年??(nian)內(nèi)??(nei)(包??(bao)括??(kuo)元??(yuan)旦??(dan)春??(chun)節(jié)??(jie))豬??(zhu)肉??(rou)市?(shi)場(chǎng)??(chang)供??(gong)應(yīng)??(ying)較?(jiao)為??(wei)充??(chong)足?(zu)??。在??(zai)此??(ci)提??(ti)醒??(xing)廣??(guang)大??(da)養(yǎng)??(yang)殖??(zhi)場(chǎng)??(chang)戶??(hu)??，明??(ming)年??(nian)春?(chun)節(jié)??(jie)后??(hou)可??(ke)能??(neng)出??(chu)現(xiàn)??(xian)消??(xiao)費(fèi)??(fei)淡??(dan)季??(ji)與??(yu)生?(sheng)豬??(zhu)出??(chu)欄??(lan)量??(liang)增??(zeng)加??(jia)“兩??(liang)碰??(peng)頭??(tou)”??，養(yǎng)??(yang)豬??(zhu)虧??(kui)損??(sun)程??(cheng)度??(du)甚?(shen)至??(zhi)可??(ke)能??(neng)重??(zhong)于??(yu)今??(jin)年??(nian)同??(tong)期??(qi)??，希??(xi)望?(wang)大??(da)家?(jia)做??(zuo)好??(hao)生??(sheng)產(chǎn)??(chan)安??(an)排??(pai)??，合??(he)理?(li)調(diào)??(tiao)整?(zheng)生??(sheng)產(chǎn)??(chan)節(jié)??(jie)奏?(zou)??，順??(shun)時(shí)??(shi)順??(shun)勢(shì)??(shi)出??(chu)欄?(lan)生??(sheng)豬??(zhu)??。　　對(duì)??(dui)此??(ci)??，陳??(chen)光??(guang)華??(hua)表??(biao)示??(shi)??，今??(jin)年??(nian)以??(yi)來??(lai)??，生??(sheng)豬??(zhu)市??(shi)場(chǎng)??(chang)供?(gong)應(yīng)??(ying)總??(zong)體??(ti)較??(jiao)為??(wei)充??(chong)足??(zu)??，大??(da)家??(jia)在?(zai)日??(ri)常??(chang)生??(sheng)活??(huo)中??(zhong)可??(ke)能??(neng)都??(dou)感??(gan)受??(shou)到??(dao)了??(le)??。??1—7月??(yue)份??(fen)豬??(zhu)價(jià)??(jia)低??(di)位?(wei)運(yùn)??(yun)行??(xing)??，出??(chu)欄??(lan)一?(yi)頭??(tou)生?(sheng)豬??(zhu)虧?(kui)損??(sun)約??(yue)130元??(yuan)??。7月??(yue)下??(xia)旬?(xun)之??(zhi)后??(hou)??，豬??(zhu)肉??(rou)供??(gong)需??(xu)逐??(zhu)漸?(jian)趨??(qu)于??(yu)平??(ping)衡??(heng)??，生??(sheng)豬?(zhu)價(jià)??(jia)格??(ge)回??(hui)升??(sheng)??，養(yǎng)??(yang)殖??(zhi)實(shí)?(shi)現(xiàn)??(xian)扭??(niu)虧??(kui)為??(wei)盈??(ying)??。中??(zhong)秋??(qiu)國(guó)??(guo)慶??(qing)以??(yi)來??(lai)??，豬??(zhu)肉??(rou)市?(shi)場(chǎng)?(chang)供??(gong)應(yīng)??(ying)寬?(kuan)松??(song)??，價(jià)??(jia)格??(ge)又??(you)出??(chu)現(xiàn)??(xian)了??(le)小??(xiao)幅?(fu)下??(xia)跌??(die)??。這??(zhe)主??(zhu)要??(yao)是??(shi)因??(yin)為??(wei)生??(sheng)豬??(zhu)生??(sheng)產(chǎn)??(chan)供??(gong)應(yīng)??(ying)在??(zai)穩(wěn)??(wen)定??(ding)增??(zeng)加??(jia)??。作?(zuo)為??(wei)產(chǎn)??(chan)能??(neng)的??(de)核??(he)心??(xin)指??(zhi)標(biāo)??(biao)??，全祝(quan)國(guó)?(guo)能??(neng)繁??(fan)母??(mu)豬??(zhu)存??(cun)欄??(lan)量??(liang)今??(jin)年??(nian)以??(yi)來??(lai)始??(shi)終??(zhong)高??(gao)于??(yu)4100萬??(wan)頭??(tou)的??(de)正?(zheng)常??(chang)保??(bao)有??(you)量??(liang)??。9月?(yue)末??(mo)??，能??(neng)繁??(fan)母??(mu)豬??(zhu)存??(cun)欄??(lan)量??(liang)4240萬??(wan)頭??(tou)??，比??(bi)4100萬??(wan)頭??(tou)正??(zheng)常??(chang)保??(bao)有??(you)量??(liang)要??(yao)高??(gao)出??(chu)3.4%??。同?(tong)時(shí)??(shi)??，母??(mu)豬??(zhu)生??(sheng)產(chǎn)??(chan)效??(xiao)率??(lv)也??(ye)在??(zai)提??(ti)升??(sheng)??，一??(yi)頭??(tou)母??(mu)豬??(zhu)每??(mei)年??(nian)要??(yao)比??(bi)上??(shang)年??(nian)多?(duo)提??(ti)供??(gong)約?(yue)0.5頭??(tou)肥?(fei)豬??(zhu)??。這??(zhe)樣??(yang)能??(neng)繁??(fan)母??(mu)豬??(zhu)數(shù)??(shu)量?(liang)增?(zeng)多??(duo)??，生??(sheng)產(chǎn)??(chan)效??(xiao)率??(lv)又??(you)在??(zai)提??(ti)升??(sheng)??，在??(zai)兩??(liang)個(gè)??(ge)因??(yin)素??(su)共??(gong)同??(tong)作??(zuo)用??(yong)下??(xia)??，豬??(zhu)肉??(rou)產(chǎn)?(chan)量??(liang)處??(chu)于??(yu)近??(jin)年?(nian)同?(tong)期??(qi)高??(gao)位??(wei)??。前?(qian)三??(san)季??(ji)度??(du)豬??(zhu)肉??(rou)產(chǎn)??(chan)量??(liang)4301萬??(wan)噸??(dun)??，同?(tong)比??(bi)增??(zeng)長(zhǎng)??(chang)3.6%??。

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