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　　其??(qi)一??(yi)??，貿(mào)??(mao)易??(yi)戰(zhàn)??(zhan)升?(sheng)級??(ji)直??(zhi)接??(jie)影??(ying)響??(xiang)全??(quan)球??(qiu)原??(yuan)油??(you)需??(xu)求??(qiu)預(yù)??(yu)期??(qi)??。??美??(mei)國??(guo)加??(jia)征??(zheng)關(guān)?(guan)稅??(shui)政??(zheng)策??(ce)將??(jiang)在??(zai)很?(hen)大??(da)程??(cheng)度??(du)上??(shang)影?(ying)響??(xiang)世??(shi)界??(jie)經(jīng)??(jing)濟(jì)??(ji)復(fù)?(fu)蘇??(su)增??(zeng)長?(chang)??，并??(bing)且??(qie)有??(you)可??(ke)能??(neng)導(dǎo)?(dao)致??(zhi)美??(mei)經(jīng)??(jing)濟(jì)??(ji)出??(chu)現(xiàn)??(xian)衰?(shuai)退?(tui)??。任??(ren)何??(he)經(jīng)??(jing)濟(jì)??(ji)增??(zeng)長?(chang)放??(fang)緩??(huan)的??(de)預(yù)??(yu)期??(qi)都??(dou)將?(jiang)導(dǎo)??(dao)致??(zhi)市??(shi)場??(chang)對??(dui)原??(yuan)油??(you)需??(xu)求??(qiu)的??(de)擔(dān)??(dan)憂?(you)加??(jia)劇??(ju)??。這??(zhe)種??(zhong)擔(dān)??(dan)憂??(you)反?(fan)映??(ying)在??(zai)國??(guo)際??(ji)油??(you)價??(jia)上??(shang)??，表??(biao)現(xiàn)??(xian)為??(wei)油??(you)價??(jia)劇??(ju)烈??(lie)波??(bo)動??(dong)??。　　另??(ling)一??(yi)方??(fang)面??(mian)??，市??(shi)場??(chang)人??(ren)氣??(qi)備??(bei)受??(shou)打??(da)擊??(ji)??，投??(tou)機(jī)??(ji)者?(zhe)紛??(fen)紛??(fen)規(guī)??(gui)避??(bi)交??(jiao)易??(yi)風(fēng)??(feng)險(xiǎn)??(xian)??。??渣??(zha)打??(da)銀??(yin)行??(xing)原??(yuan)油??(you)基??(ji)金??(jin)經(jīng)??(jing)理??(li)綜??(zong)合??(he)定??(ding)位??(wei)指??(zhi)數(shù)??(shu)環(huán)??(huan)比??(bi)下??(xia)降??(jiang)6.9??，而??(er)所??(suo)有??(you)主?(zhu)要??(yao)產(chǎn)??(chan)品??(pin)(取??(qu)暖?(nuan)油??(you)、柴??(chai)油?(you)和??(he)汽??(qi)油??(you)混??(hun)合??(he)料??(liao))的??(de)相??(xiang)應(yīng)??(ying)指??(zhi)數(shù)??(shu)均??(jun)環(huán)??(huan)比??(bi)下??(xia)降??(jiang)??。專??(zhuan)家??(jia)指??(zhi)出??(chu)??，目??(mu)前??(qian)投??(tou)機(jī)??(ji)性??(xing)倉??(cang)位??(wei)的??(de)平?(ping)衡??(heng)已??(yi)轉(zhuǎn)??(zhuan)向??(xiang)空??(kong)頭??(tou)??，但??(dan)空??(kong)頭??(tou)和??(he)多??(duo)頭??(tou)都??(dou)在??(zai)減??(jian)少??(shao)交??(jiao)易??(yi)規(guī)??(gui)避??(bi)風(fēng)??(feng)險(xiǎn)??(xian)??。3月??(yue)初??(chu)??，4種?(zhong)主??(zhu)要??(yao)布??(bu)倫??(lun)特??(te)原??(yuan)油??(you)和??(he)西??(xi)得??(de)州??(zhou)中?(zhong)質(zhì)??(zhi)原??(yuan)油??(you)(WTI)合?(he)約??(yue)的??(de)多??(duo)頭??(tou)倉?(cang)位??(wei)減?(jian)少??(shao)4470萬??(wan)桶??(tong)??，至??(zhi)46750萬??(wan)桶??(tong)??，而?(er)空??(kong)頭??(tou)倉??(cang)位??(wei)也??(ye)減??(jian)少??(shao)到??(dao)24980萬??(wan)桶??(tong)??。。