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學習快評丨qibao666888　　事??(shi)實?(shi)上??(shang)??，目??(mu)前??(qian)世??(shi)界??(jie)石??(shi)油??(you)市??(shi)場??(chang)一??(yi)直??(zhi)被??(bei)供??(gong)應??(ying)過??(guo)剩??(sheng)、需??(xu)求??(qiu)不??(bu)振??(zhen)所??(suo)困??(kun)擾??(rao)??。??特??(te)朗??(lang)普??(pu)政??(zheng)府??(fu)一?(yi)方??(fang)面??(mian)向??(xiang)歐??(ou)佩??(pei)克??(ke)和??(he)沙??(sha)特??(te)阿??(e)拉??(la)伯??(bo)施??(shi)壓??(ya)??，要??(yao)求??(qiu)后??(hou)者??(zhe)提??(ti)高??(gao)產??(chan)量??(liang)壓??(ya)低??(di)油??(you)價??(jia)；另??(ling)一??(yi)方??(fang)面?(mian)又??(you)拒?(ju)絕??(jue)補??(bu)充??(chong)庫??(ku)存??(cun)??。美??(mei)能??(neng)源?(yuan)部??(bu)長?(chang)計??(ji)劃??(hua)與??(yu)國??(guo)會??(hui)合??(he)作??(zuo)取??(qu)消?(xiao)今??(jin)后??(hou)5年??(nian)強?(qiang)制??(zhi)性??(xing)購??(gou)買??(mai)戰(zhàn)?(zhan)略??(lve)石??(shi)油??(you)儲??(chu)備??(bei)的??(de)規(guī)??(gui)定?(ding)??。此??(ci)外??(wai)??，美??(mei)國??(guo)加??(jia)大??(da)對?(dui)伊??(yi)朗??(lang)極??(ji)限??(xian)制??(zhi)裁??(cai)以??(yi)及??(ji)俄??(e)烏??(wu)沖??(chong)突??(tu)解??(jie)決??(jue)后??(hou)是??(shi)否??(fou)放??(fang)松??(song)對??(dui)俄??(e)能??(neng)源??(yuan)制??(zhi)裁??(cai)等??(deng)都??(dou)是??(shi)未??(wei)知??(zhi)數??(shu)??，更??(geng)何??(he)況??(kuang)美??(mei)關??(guan)稅??(shui)政??(zheng)策??(ce)將??(jiang)直??(zhi)接??(jie)影??(ying)響??(xiang)到??(dao)各??(ge)主??(zhu)要??(yao)經??(jing)濟?(ji)體??(ti)的??(de)能??(neng)源??(yuan)供??(gong)應??(ying)及??(ji)需??(xu)求??(qiu)變??(bian)化??(hua)??，市??(shi)場??(chang)短??(duan)期??(qi)風??(feng)險??(xian)是??(shi)顯??(xian)而??(er)易??(yi)見??(jian)的??(de)??。　　其??(qi)二?(er)??，懲??(cheng)罰??(fa)性??(xing)關??(guan)稅??(shui)政??(zheng)策??(ce)將??(jiang)導??(dao)致??(zhi)全??(quan)球??(qiu)貿??(mao)易?(yi)成??(cheng)本??(ben)上?(shang)升??(sheng)??，迫??(po)使??(shi)石??(shi)油?(you)貿??(mao)易??(yi)改??(gai)道??(dao)??，進??(jin)一?(yi)步?(bu)加??(jia)劇??(ju)了??(le)國??(guo)際??(ji)油??(you)價??(jia)的?(de)不??(bu)確??(que)定??(ding)性??(xing)??。??美?(mei)國?(guo)對??(dui)進??(jin)口??(kou)鋼??(gang)鐵??(tie)和??(he)鋁?(lv)加??(jia)征??(zheng)關??(guan)稅??(shui)??，增??(zeng)加??(jia)國??(guo)內??(nei)石??(shi)油??(you)開??(kai)采??(cai)和?(he)運??(yun)輸??(shu)的??(de)成??(cheng)本??(ben)??，間??(jian)接??(jie)推?(tui)高??(gao)油??(you)價??(jia)??。同??(tong)時??(shi)??，貿??(mao)易??(yi)摩??(mo)擦??(ca)導??(dao)致??(zhi)的??(de)全??(quan)球??(qiu)經??(jing)濟??(ji)放??(fang)緩??(huan)預??(yu)期??(qi)??，又?(you)對??(dui)油??(you)價??(jia)形??(xing)成?(cheng)了??(le)下??(xia)行??(xing)壓??(ya)力??(li)??。這??(zhe)種??(zhong)復??(fu)雜?(za)的??(de)相??(xiang)互?(hu)作??(zuo)用??(yong)使??(shi)得??(de)國??(guo)際??(ji)油??(you)價??(jia)的?(de)波??(bo)動?(dong)更??(geng)加??(jia)難??(nan)以??(yi)預??(yu)測??(ce)??。。